2024 Chances of a government shutdown - First published on Tue 26 Sep 2023 11.42 EDT. The Senate took a significant step to extend government funding beyond the end of the month, with just days left to avoid a shutdown that could force ...

 
Funding the government by Sept. 30 will be the greatest hurdle to date for the fragile House Republican majority and McCarthy’s chances of keeping his speaker’s gavel.. Chances of a government shutdown

First published on Tue 26 Sep 2023 11.42 EDT. The Senate took a significant step to extend government funding beyond the end of the month, with just days left to avoid a shutdown that could force ...The U.S. government will shut down at 12:01 a.m. Sunday, Oct. 1 if lawmakers don't pass a continuing resolution or a federal budget by Sept. 30. The continuing resolution, a stopgap measure that would temporarily fund the government while lawmakers work to pass a comprehensive budget, would prevent a shutdown from occurring on Oct. 1.Welcome to shutdown watch 2023, where the House and Senate try to fund the federal government before the fiscal year 2024 before funding runs out at midnight on September 30th — or else, the ...A government shutdown that could start this weekend would "undermine" U.S. economic progress by idling key programs for small businesses and children, and could delay major infrastructure ...The longer a shutdown lasts, the more programs are put at risk—as contingency funds run dry, grants expire, and some states and local governments grow increasingly unable to advance the money to ...First published on Tue 26 Sep 2023 11.42 EDT. The Senate took a significant step to extend government funding beyond the end of the month, with just days left to avoid a shutdown that could force ...Editor's note: This page is the news of a potential government shutdown for Thursday, Sept. 28. For the latest news on the chances of a government shutdown, read our live updates file for Friday, Sept. 29.. WASHINGTON−The U.S. is two days away from a shutdown − a situation moving from possible to likely as Congress has failed to …The White House Office of Management and Budget on Thursday began its initial communications to agencies on how to prepare for a possible government shutdown, a source familiar with the plans said ...September 14, 2023 at 4:14 p.m. EDT. The US government is approaching yet another possible shutdown unless Congress enacts a stopgap spending bill that carries through the start of a new fiscal ...2:42. Ultra-conservatives in the US House on Wednesday softened their demands for deep spending cuts to domestic programs, heightening the odds the two parties can reach a spending agreement and ...Oct 30, 2023 · Goldman Sachs released a forecast finding it's unlikely that a government shutdown will occur before the end of this year as Congress faces a Nov. 17 funding deadline. Federal employees prepared for a government shutdown that was all but certain — until it wasn’t. Congress averted a government shutdown on Saturday evening by passing a continuing resolution. The stopgap funding bill gives lawmakers until Nov. 17 to reach a bipartisan spending deal for the rest of fiscal 2024.30 Aug 2017 ... At first blush, chances of a shutdown seems highly unlikely, given the administration is Republican and the GOP holds majorities in both the ...A chaotic week on Capitol Hill yielded no serious progress as Congress stares down a spending deadline at the end of the month with lawmakers acknowledging a government shutdown is not only ...Congress left for an extended August recess without resolving simmering conflicts over spending and hot-button social issues, raising the risk of a government shutdown when federal funding runs ...House paralyzed without a speaker, increasing the odds of a government shutdown in November. WASHINGTON – While House Republicans bicker over who should succeed former Speaker Kevin McCarthy, R ...The longer a shutdown lasts, the more programs are put at risk—as contingency funds run dry, grants expire, and some states and local governments grow increasingly unable to advance the money to ...CNN — New House Speaker Mike Johnson may already be losing his first big clash with the hard-right lawmakers who are making the Republican majority and the …Funding the government by Sept. 30 will be the greatest hurdle to date for the fragile House Republican majority and McCarthy’s chances of keeping his speaker’s gavel.Politics; Government shutdown odds spike as House GOP hardliners thwart McCarthy, spending bills. House Speaker Kevin McCarthy's caucus is in disarray, and the US is now hurtling toward an ...The House passed Speaker Mike Johnson's funding bill to avert a government shutdown. It passed on a bipartisan basis by a vote of 336 to 95 – with 209 of the votes coming from Democrats.Editor's note: This page is the news of a potential government shutdown from Wednesday, Sept. 27. For live updates on the latest news on the odds of a government shutdown, read our live updates ...House passes continuing resolution, lowering government shutdown odds. The House approved the short-term stopgap measure to fund the government and avert a shutdown, kicking the can down the road ...0:00. 2:15. WASHINGTON – The countdown is on for Congress to pass 12 spending bills to avert a total government shutdown where all but essential federal agencies would stop their work. The odds ...A government shutdown was prevented after Congress passed a stopgap funding measure ahead of a critical midnight deadline in a whirlwind day on Capitol Hill. President Joe Biden signed the bill ...2 Oct 2023 ... The threat of a federal government shutdown ended late Saturday, hours before a midnight deadline, as Congress approved a temporary funding ...Congress appeared deadlocked Tuesday on a path to avert a federal shutdown in less than two weeks, as House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.) floated a plan to finance the government that drew ...House passes continuing resolution, lowering government shutdown odds. The House approved the short-term stopgap measure to fund the government and avert a shutdown, kicking the can down the road ...WASHINGTON (Reuters) - As the U.S. Congress eyes another looming partial government shutdown deadline in less than two weeks, it also faces a question: …In today’s digital age, computers have become an integral part of our lives. From work to entertainment, we rely heavily on these machines to perform various tasks. However, one aspect that is often overlooked is the proper shutdown of our ...WASHINGTON — House Speaker Kevin McCarthy’s attempts to avoid a government shutdown just became more complicated after former President Donald Trump stepped in to endorse the tactics of far ...In today’s competitive job market, it’s crucial to know how to effectively apply for job vacancies in order to maximize your chances of landing the position you desire. Additionally, delve into the details of the job description.“A government shutdown could impact everything from food safety to cancer research to Head Start programs for children,” Mr. Biden said at a Saturday dinner for the Congressional Black Caucus ...Meanwhile, the last government shutdown marked the longest in history. It began with a Republican-led House in December 2018 and ended the following month after Democrats took control of the chamber.WASHINGTON, Sept 21 (Reuters) - As Republicans in the U.S. House of Representatives struggle to agree on funding bills, Senate Democrats on Thursday …Sep 28, 2023 · Divisions among House Republicans were on display Thursday as tensions erupted during a closed-door meeting and later the chamber convened with late night votes as a government shutdown nears. With the government on the brink of a shutdown later this week as Congress remains at an impasse on a funding deal, federal departments and agencies have formally begun the mandatory process of ...Sep 26, 2023 · A government shutdown means all federal agencies and services officials don’t deem “essential” have to stop their work and close their doors. Some of those essential services include the U.S ... Government shutdowns play out differently, but they can have wide-ranging impacts from recipients of food assistance programs seeing delays to federal employees being furloughed. Start the day ...The House and Senate are far from off the hook. Johnson has promised he won’t put another “clean” funding bill on the floor, increasing the chances of a shutdown …[1/4] A general view of the U.S. Capitol, where Congress will return Tuesday to deal with a series of spending bills before funding runs out and triggers a partial U.S. government shutdown, in ...Non-essential federal employees would stop working during a shutdown. The last time the federal government shut down (from December 2018 to January 2019), 420,000 federal employees were required to work without pay and another 350,000 were furloughed without pay, per the American Federation of Government Employees, a federal employee union.A government shutdown was prevented after Congress passed a stopgap funding measure ahead of a critical midnight deadline in a whirlwind day on Capitol Hill. President Joe Biden signed the bill ...“A government shutdown could impact everything from food safety to cancer research to Head Start programs for children,” Mr. Biden said at a Saturday dinner for the Congressional Black Caucus ...On top of all that, the federal government now seems to be barreling toward an unavoidable shutdown. House Republicans, who have a slim majority in the lower chamber, can’t seem to agree on a ...The small group of House Republicans who might force a government shutdown. In light of the standoff in Congress, the White House Office of Management and Budget told federal agencies Wednesday to ...It’s just about everyone’s dream to win the lottery and retire for life. After all, that dream is what keeps selling those tickets. But then again, how many tickets does it take to win? Here is a breakdown of your chances of winning the lot...Sep 29, 2023 · The funding fight focuses on a relatively small slice of the $6.4 trillion U.S. budget for this fiscal year. Lawmakers are not considering cuts to popular benefit programs such as Social Security ... [1/4] A general view of the U.S. Capitol, where Congress will return Tuesday to deal with a series of spending bills before funding runs out and triggers a partial U.S. government shutdown, in ...By Andy Sullivan November 14, 20238:26 AM PSTUpdated 17 days ago Nov 13 (Reuters) - U.S. government services would be disrupted and hundreds of thousands of federal workers would be told not to...The House started floor debate on the bill Monday, but House Speaker Nancy Pelosi has said a vote won’t happen until later in the week. September 30: Government funding expires at midnight ...Such legislation would lose support among House Democrats and face steep odds in the Democrat-controlled Senate, making a shutdown likely. But without the support of conservatives on a clean ...During shutdowns since 1995, the defense sector gained 5.2% and the traditionally defensive healthcare sector advanced 2.3%, compared with the S&P 500’s 3% return. Beyond the risk of a shutdown, other factors also contribute to this view: In the longer term, government spending and incentives could boost both sectors.The House and Senate are expected to pass a short-term extension to avert a government shutdown at the end of the week, which would give negotiators more time to try to secure a broader full-year ...Goldman Sachs released a forecast finding it's unlikely that a government shutdown will occur before the end of this year as Congress faces a Nov. 17 funding deadline.Sep 25, 2023 · Non-essential federal employees would stop working during a shutdown. The last time the federal government shut down (from December 2018 to January 2019), 420,000 federal employees were required to work without pay and another 350,000 were furloughed without pay, per the American Federation of Government Employees, a federal employee union. OMB official estimates of the 2013 government shutdown found that $2.5 billion in pay and benefits were paid to furloughed employees for hours not worked during the shutdown, as well as roughly $10 million in penalty interest payments and lost fee collections. Shutdowns also carry a cost to the economy.CNN —. President Joe Biden signed into law the stopgap bill to avert a government shutdown passed by Congress just hours ahead of a critical midnight deadline when funding for federal agencies ...1:03. House lawmakers worked over the weekend on a stopgap measure needed to fund the US government beyond a Nov. 17 deadline, Speaker Mike Johnson said. While Johnson didn’t mention the ...In a private conference call last week, McCarthy urged his colleagues to back a short-term spending deal to avoid an October 1 shutdown and instead focus their energy on the larger funding fight ...By David Morgan and Jason Lange. WASHINGTON (Reuters) - As the U.S. Congress eyes another looming partial government shutdown deadline in less than two weeks, it also faces a question: Whether ...Editor's note: This page is the news of a potential government shutdown for Thursday, Sept. 28. For the latest news on the chances of a government shutdown, read our live updates file for Friday ...Sep 25, 2023 · 09/25/2023 09:21 AM EDT. Six days from now, we’ll either see a government shutdown putting millions of federal employees on furlough — or an 11th hour bipartisan spending agreement that could ... September 27, 2023 at 11:00 AM. /. Loaded 0%. The chances that the government avoids a shutdown in the next three days are not looking good, according to Goldman Sachs economists. “A shutdown ...A November Government Shutdown Looks More Likely Than Ever. By Ed Kilgore, political columnist for Intelligencer since 2015. Steve Scalise is the front-runner to succeed his frenemy Kevin McCarthy ...WASHINGTON – The countdown is on for Congress to pass 12 spending bills to avert a total government shutdown where all but essential federal agencies would stop their work. The odds of lawmakers meeting their deadline to pass the 12 spending bills aren't great. The House passed just one before their August recess.A government shutdown that could start this weekend would "undermine" U.S. economic progress by idling key programs for small businesses and children, and could delay major infrastructure ...Businesses closely connected to the federal government, such as federal contractors or tourist services around national parks, could see disruptions and downturns. The travel sector could lose ...Dec. 2018 - Jan. 2019: This was the longest government shutdown in the history of the U.S., lasting 35 days. Former President Donald Trump pushed for funding for construction of a wall on the ...The House and Senate are careening toward a major spending standoff that could consume Congress this fall, raise the threat of a government shutdown and once again test House Speaker Kevin ...Congress will have to address government funding early next year to avoid a government shutdown. It faces a two-tiered funding deadline, with some parts of the …The federal government will close down at the end of the week if Congress doesn’t extend spending laws. ... increasing the odds of a government shutdown. ...On top of all that, the federal government now seems to be barreling toward an unavoidable shutdown. House Republicans, who have a slim majority in the lower chamber, can’t seem to agree on a ...Divisions among House Republicans were on display Thursday as tensions erupted during a closed-door meeting and later the chamber convened with late night votes as a government shutdown nears.The last government shutdown lasted for 35 days — the longest in US history — between December 22, 2018, and January 25, 2019. While a shutdown likely won't be as catastrophic as the debt ... Nov 6, 2023 · By David Morgan and Jason Lange. WASHINGTON (Reuters) - As the U.S. Congress eyes another looming partial government shutdown deadline in less than two weeks, it also faces a question: Whether ... Cue the cable news government shutdown countdown clocks -- Congress is in for another summer of nasty budget politics and the prospect come October of federal agencies with giant 'CLOSED' signs on ...0:59. WASHINGTON - Lawmakers were bracing on Saturday for a possible government shutdown in just one week's time. President Joe Biden's administration is sending directives to agencies to begin ...Businesses closely connected to the federal government, such as federal contractors or tourist services around national parks, could see disruptions and downturns. The travel sector could lose ...By David Morgan and Jason Lange. WASHINGTON (Reuters) - As the U.S. Congress eyes another looming partial government shutdown deadline in less than two weeks, it also faces a question: Whether ...The new stopgap will keep the government running until early 2024, but the extensions will be split, by department, into two new dates: Jan. 19 and Feb. 2. A government shutdown would stop or ...It’s just about everyone’s dream to win the lottery and retire for life. After all, that dream is what keeps selling those tickets. But then again, how many tickets does it take to win? Here is a breakdown of your chances of winning the lot...Editor's note: This page is the news of a potential government shutdown for Thursday, Sept. 28. For the latest news on the chances of a government shutdown, read our live updates file for Friday ...Sep 28, 2023 · Divisions among House Republicans were on display Thursday as tensions erupted during a closed-door meeting and later the chamber convened with late night votes as a government shutdown nears. Loaded 0%. WASHINGTON – The countdown is on for Congress to pass 12 spending bills to avert a total government shutdown where all but essential federal agencies would stop their work. The odds of lawmakers meeting their deadline to pass the 12 spending bills aren't great. The House passed just one before their August recess.Chances of a government shutdown

26 Sept 2023 ... As many as 4 million workers could lose pay as a result of a shutdown -- about half of whom are military troops and personnel. While essential .... Chances of a government shutdown

chances of a government shutdown

30 Aug 2017 ... At first blush, chances of a shutdown seems highly unlikely, given the administration is Republican and the GOP holds majorities in both the ...3 Oct 2023 ... If Congress was not able to pass legislation to fund the federal government past midnight on September 30, 2023, it would have triggered a ...Sep 28, 2023 · The U.S. government will shut down at 12:01 a.m. Sunday, Oct. 1 if lawmakers don't pass a continuing resolution or a federal budget by Sept. 30. The continuing resolution, a stopgap measure that would temporarily fund the government while lawmakers work to pass a comprehensive budget, would prevent a shutdown from occurring on Oct. 1. It’s just about everyone’s dream to win the lottery and retire for life. After all, that dream is what keeps selling those tickets. But then again, how many tickets does it take to win? Here is a breakdown of your chances of winning the lot...Cue the cable news government shutdown countdown clocks -- Congress is in for another summer of nasty budget politics and the prospect come October of federal agencies with giant 'CLOSED' signs on ...18 Jan 2018 ... And why it still might not happen. By Perry Bacon Jr. ... The odds of a government shutdown have gone up. ... There will be a government shutdown ...The split between the two chambers suggests the federal government is increasingly likely to enter its fourth shutdown in a decade on Sunday, a pattern of partisan gridlock that has begun to ...Posted: 8:18 a.m. EST Nov 13, 2023. Funding runs out for the federal government at the end of Friday, which would cause a government shutdown unless Congress acts in time. A shutdown would close national parks, furlough hundreds of thousands of government workers and force many federal employees to work without pay.We’re headed for a government shutdown, quite possibly a long one, probably beginning on Oct. 1. Nothing is ever certain, and it takes very little for Congress to avoid a shutdown — just a ...The split between the two chambers suggests the federal government is increasingly likely to enter its fourth shutdown in a decade on Sunday, a pattern of partisan gridlock that has begun to ...0:59. WASHINGTON - Lawmakers were bracing on Saturday for a possible government shutdown in just one week's time. President Joe Biden's administration is sending directives to agencies to begin ...27 Aug 2023 ... The chances of a government shutdown on October 1 are high. In fact, the possibilities of a shutdown may be even greater now than they were ...OMB official estimates of the 2013 government shutdown found that $2.5 billion in pay and benefits were paid to furloughed employees for hours not worked during the shutdown, as well as roughly $10 million in penalty interest payments and lost fee collections. Shutdowns also carry a cost to the economy.September 22, 2023 at 2:00 AM PDT. Listen. 4:51. House Republicans are charging toward a US government shutdown in less than 10 days as party lawmakers struggle to agree on how much to cut ...Editor's note: This page is the news of a potential government shutdown for Thursday, Sept. 28. For the latest news on the chances of a government shutdown, read our live updates file for Friday, Sept. 29.. WASHINGTON−The U.S. is two days away from a shutdown − a situation moving from possible to likely as Congress has failed to …29 Sept 2023 ... The White House said on Friday it was still possible to avoid a government shutdown, but that it was up to hardline Republican lawmakers to ...A full, lengthy shutdown of the U.S. government is "likely" at the end of the month and could leave the Federal Reserve reluctant to raise interest rates in November, analysts at bond giant PIMCO ...Sep 14, 2023 · 0:00. 2:15. WASHINGTON – The countdown is on for Congress to pass 12 spending bills to avert a total government shutdown where all but essential federal agencies would stop their work. The odds ... The chances of a government shutdown are decreasing by the day. Senate and House appropriations committee leaders agreed last night to a top-level budget framework for fiscal 2023. This clears the way for an omnibus bill to fund agencies for the entire year.Nov 13 (Reuters) - U.S. government services would be disrupted and hundreds of thousands of federal workers would be told not to work if Congress fails to …A battle over healthcare spending led to a 16-day shutdown in October 2013, while disputes over immigration led to a three-day shutdown in January 2018 and a 35-day shutdown between December 2018 ...A government shutdown was prevented after Congress passed a stopgap funding measure ahead of a critical midnight deadline in a whirlwind day on Capitol Hill. President Joe Biden signed the bill ...Aug 31, 2023 · In 2015, Boehner again faced a rebellion from the Freedom Caucus over social-policy riders—cuts to Planned Parenthood, restrictions on Syrian refugees—that threatened a government shutdown. He ... It’s on track for Senate approval later this week but faces long odds in the House. FILE - Speaker of the House Kevin McCarthy, R-Calif., is surrounded by reporters looking for updates on plans to fund the government and avert a shutdown, at the Capitol in Washington, Friday, Sept. 22, 2023. ... “Government shutdowns are bad news.” ...The split between the two chambers suggests the federal government is increasingly likely to enter its fourth shutdown in a decade on Sunday, a pattern of partisan gridlock that has begun to ...USA TODAY. 0:00. 1:30. WASHINGTON – Ericka Goff hears the rumblings about a possible federal government shutdown this fall and prays it doesn’t happen. Goff, a receptionist in Columbus, Ohio ...Posted: 8:18 a.m. EST Nov 13, 2023. Funding runs out for the federal government at the end of Friday, which would cause a government shutdown unless Congress acts in time. A shutdown would close national parks, furlough hundreds of thousands of government workers and force many federal employees to work without pay.A government closure is increasingly likely as time runs out for Congress to act. McCarthy’s bid to move ahead with a traditionally popular defense funding bill as a first step toward keeping the government running was shattered, on a vote of 212-216. Five Republicans refused to vote with the increasingly endangered speaker.09/25/2023 09:21 AM EDT. Six days from now, we’ll either see a government shutdown putting millions of federal employees on furlough — or an 11th hour bipartisan spending agreement that could ...September 28, 2023 · 1 min read. 2. WASHINGTON (Nexstar) — Despite the fact that the Senate just advanced a measure to fund the government through November, a government shutdown is set to begin Sunday. “Speaker is saying he cares more about the whims of the hard right, the hard hard right, than avoiding a shutdown,” says Senate Majority ...21 Sept 2023 ... odds of a shutdown will remain elevated until Congress passes full-year spending measures, and little progress has been made on that front. ▫ ...A government shutdown was prevented after Congress passed a stopgap funding measure ahead of a critical midnight deadline in a whirlwind day on Capitol Hill. President Joe Biden signed the bill ...With the government on the brink of a shutdown later this week as Congress remains at an impasse on a funding deal, federal departments and agencies have formally begun the mandatory process of ...The spending package keeps government funding at current levels for roughly two more months while a long-term package is negotiated. It splits the deadlines …18 Jan 2018 ... And why it still might not happen. By Perry Bacon Jr. ... The odds of a government shutdown have gone up. ... There will be a government shutdown ...The chances of a government shutdown are decreasing by the day. Senate and House appropriations committee leaders agreed last night to a top-level budget framework for fiscal 2023. This clears the way for an omnibus bill to fund agencies for the entire year.May 17, 2023 · So, when the deadline is missed, the result is a government shutdown. Some lengthy shutdowns in the recent past include a 21-day shutdown in 1995-96 under President Bill Clinton and a 35-day ... Stifel chief Washington policy strategist Brian Gardner is a bit more sanguine. While he recently pegged the chances of a shutdown at around 60-65%, he also predicts that the economic impacts ...The small group of House Republicans who might force a government shutdown. In light of the standoff in Congress, the White House Office of Management and Budget told federal agencies Wednesday to ...USA TODAY. 0:00. 1:30. WASHINGTON – Ericka Goff hears the rumblings about a possible federal government shutdown this fall and prays it doesn’t happen. Goff, a receptionist in Columbus, Ohio ...Businesses closely connected to the federal government, such as federal contractors or tourist services around national parks, could see disruptions and downturns. The travel sector could lose ...With the clock ticking to Friday's funding deadline, new House Speaker Mike Johnson may have the solution to averting a shutdown -- a two-tiered approach that keeps the government open, but once again, kicks the can down the road into the new year. Jim discusses the latest developments with Washington Examiner reporter Reese Gorman on "The Final 5."A government shutdown happens when Congress doesn’t approve funding for the federal government by the time the new fiscal year starts on October 1. It can be averted briefly if a short-term ...27 Oct 2023 ... At the top of their to-do list is passing a second stopgap spending bill that is needed to stave off a partial government shutdown when the ...The prospect of a US government shutdown grows more likely with each passing day as lawmakers have yet to reach a deal to extend funding past a critical deadline at the end of the month.Voters blamed Republicans for the last two government shutdowns and there’s never been a default. Back in 2013 and 2018, McConnell was the one wrangling for votes to keep things running and keep ...The odds of a Nov. 18 US government shutdown diminished Tuesday as House Speaker Mike Johnson gained broad Democratic support for his interim funding …The prospect of a US government shutdown grows more likely with each passing day as lawmakers have yet to reach a deal to extend funding past a critical …Government shutdowns play out differently, but they can have wide-ranging impacts from recipients of food assistance programs seeing delays to federal employees being furloughed. Start the day ...The leaders of both chambers agree that a short-term measure is the best way to avoid a government shutdown. ... Bank of America analysts in a note Tuesday put the chances of shutdown as a flip of ...Phase 2: A possible government shutdown in the fall The issue for plenty of observers is a possible government shutdown that could come on Oct. 1 without a bipartisan agreement.It’s just about everyone’s dream to win the lottery and retire for life. After all, that dream is what keeps selling those tickets. But then again, how many tickets does it take to win? Here is a breakdown of your chances of winning the lot...The small group of House Republicans who might force a government shutdown. In light of the standoff in Congress, the White House Office of Management and Budget told federal agencies Wednesday to ...3 Oct 2023 ... If Congress was not able to pass legislation to fund the federal government past midnight on September 30, 2023, it would have triggered a ...The U.S. government will shut down at 12:01 a.m. Sunday, Oct. 1 if lawmakers don't pass a continuing resolution or a federal budget by Sept. 30. The continuing resolution, a stopgap measure that would temporarily fund the government while lawmakers work to pass a comprehensive budget, would prevent a shutdown from occurring on Oct. 1.Sep 14, 2023 · Loaded 0%. WASHINGTON – The countdown is on for Congress to pass 12 spending bills to avert a total government shutdown where all but essential federal agencies would stop their work. The odds of lawmakers meeting their deadline to pass the 12 spending bills aren't great. The House passed just one before their August recess. "The likelihood of a government shutdown in two weeks has increased to at least 60 percent," wrote Greg Valliere, the chief US policy strategist at AGF Investments, in a note to clients Friday ...The election of a new speaker does reduce the risk of a shutdown, Begley said, but it doesn't remove it entirely. ... If a government shut downs, and it is prolonged, the outcomes would be "pretty .... Tennessee mortgage lenders